Bibliography
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 Recent progress in clinical trial designs that adapt for ethical
purposes, (1989). (Discussion) Statistical Science 4: 327336.
 Computational problems associated with minimizing the risk in a
simple clinical trial, (1989). Contemporary Mathematics: Statistical
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 Sequential allocation for an estimation problem with ethical cost,
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 Sequential selection of a relatively best object,
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(with Q. F. Stout) (1995). Adaptive Designs: Institute of Mathematical
Statistics Lecture Notes
25 6587. (N. Flournoy and W. F. Rosenberger, ed.'s).
Keywords: constrained dynamic programming, forward induction,
backward induction, Bayesian design, multiple criteria, clinical trials.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 A modified bandit as an approach to ethical allocation in clinical trials, (1995).
Adaptive Designs: Institute of Mathematical Statistics Lecture Notes 25 223237.
(N. Flournoy and W. F. Rosenberger, ed.'s).
[Abstract]
 Asymptotic expansions for randomly censored survival data, (1996).
Statistics and Probability Letters 26 187197.
Keywords: parameter transformations, posterior distributions, normal
likelihood.
[Abstract]
 Optimal allocation for estimating the mean of a bivariate
polynomial, (with Q. F. Stout) (1996).
Sequential Analysis 15, pp. 7190.
Keywords: nonlinear estimation, sequential design, robustness, myopic,
hyperopic, dynamic programming, adaptive allocation, product, Bayesian,
fault tolerance.
[Abstract 
Paper with color figures 
Paper with grayscale
figures]
 Sequentially deciding between two
experiments for estimating a common success probability (with C. Page
and Q. F. Stout) (1998).
J. American Statistical Association, 93, pp. 15021511.
Keywords: batch testing, risk assessment, infection rate,
grouped data, omniscient allocation, composite testing.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Flexible algorithms for creating and analyzing adaptive
designs (with Q. F. Stout), New Developments and Applications in
Experimental Design, Institute of Math. Stat. Lecture
Notes  Monograph Series, 34 (1998), pp. 91105.
Keywords: sequential allocation, dynamic programming, forward induction,
bandit problems, algorithms, highperformance computing, stochastic
optimization, parallel computing.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Using path induction to evaluate
sequential allocation procedures (with Q. F. Stout),
SIAM J. Scientific Computing 21 (1999), pp. 6787.
Keywords: backward induction, adaptive allocation, forward induction,
staged allocation, group sampling,
path counting, Bayesian, bandit problems, dynamic programming, stochastic
optimization.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 A program for sequential allocation of three Bernoulli populations
(with R. Oehmke and Q. F. Stout),
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 31 (1999),
pp. 397416.
Keywords: adaptive sampling, bandit, estimation, dynamic programming,
path
induction,
parallel computing, design of experiments, high performance
computing.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper
(PDF)]
 Optimizing a unimodal response function for binary variables
(with Q. F. Stout),
Optimum Design 2000, A. Atkinson, B. Bogacka, and A. Zhigljavsky,
eds., Kluwer, 2001, pp. 195208.
Keywords: nonparametric, shapeconstrained,
unimodal
regression,
bandit, approximate Gittins index, stochastic approximation, Polya urn,
up and down, Markov chain, random walk.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Optimal adaptive designs for delayed response models:
exponential case (with R. Oehmke and Q.F. Stout),
MODA6: Model Oriented Data Analysis,
A. Atkinson, P. Hackl, W. Mueller, eds., Physica Verlag, 2001,
pp. 127134.
Keywords: delayed response, sequential analysis,
dynamic programming, computational learning theory,
multiarm
bandit
models, parallel computing,
clinical trial, recursive equations, design of experiments, medical
ethics, clinical trial.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Scalable algorithms for
adaptive statistical designs (with R. Oehmke and Q.F. Stout),
Proc. SC 2000 (Supercomputing), 16 p.
Reprinted in Scientific Programming 8 (2001),
pp. 183193.
Keywords: dynamic programming, computational learning theory, multiarm
bandit
models, messagepassing, dynamic domain decomposition,
memoryintensive computing, load balancing, sequential analysis,
performance analysis, experimental algorithms,
parallel computing,
clinical trial, recursive equations, design of experiments, medical
ethics, clinical trial, delayed response, backward induction,
MPI, IBM SP, OpenMP, SGI Origin.
[Abstract 
Paper.ps 
Paper.pdf]
 Optimal fewstage designs (with Q.F. Stout).
Journal Statistical Planning and Inference 104 (2002),
pp. 121145.
Keywords: twostage, threestage, clinical trial, medical ethics,
group allocation,
selection, estimation,
bandit
models,
product of means.
[Abstract 
Paper.ps 
Paper.pdf]
 Directed walk designs for dose response problems with
competing
failures modes (with M.C. Meyer and Q.F. Stout) (2003). Biometrics,
59 pp. 229236.
Keywords: adaptive sampling, phase I/II clinical trial,
sequential allocation, random walk, shapeconstrained regression,
parametric, nonparamentric, Bayesian, frequentists, smooothed, curve
estimation, design of experiments, toxic.
[Abstract 
Paper.ps 
Paper.pdf]
 Optimal screening designs with flexible cost
and constraint structures (with Q.F. Stout) (2005).
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 132,
pp. 149162.
Keywords: drug testing, acceptancerejection sampling, staged
procedure,
stopping rule, dynamic programming, design of experiments,
decision
theory, backward induction.
[Abstract 
Paper.pdf]
 Parallel programs for adaptive designs (with Q.F. Stout) (2006).
Handbook of Parallel Computing and Statistics,
E. Kontoghiorghes, ed., Marcel Dekker, pp. 347373.
Keywords: multiarm bandit models, dynamic programming, speedup,
clinical trial, delayed response, response adaptive sampling,
parallelizing recursive equations, sequential
analysis.
[Abstract 
Paper.pdf]
 New adaptive designs for delayed response models (with
R. Ohemke and Q.F. Stout) (2006).
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 136,
pp. 9401955.
Keywords: randomized playthewinner, hyperopic design, bandit
problem.
[Abstract 
Paper.pdf]

Response adaptive designs that incorporate switching costs and
constraints (with Q.F. Stout) (2007). Journal of Statistical
Planning and Inference, 137, pp. 26542665
Keywords: switching costs, constraints, hyperopic procedure,
bandit problem, nonlinear Bayes risk, dynamic programming
[Abstract 
Paper.pdf]
Submitted Papers

Response adaptive designs for balancing complex objectives (with Q.F. Stout).
Keywords: controlled clinical trial, Gittins index, multiple objectives,
dynamic programming, bandit problem, optimal tradeoff, multiple objectives,
modified bandit design
abstract
paper.pdf
Conference Proceedings
 Recent progress in repeated significance tests, (1989) American Statistical Association: Proceedings of the Biopharmaceutical
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 Supercomputerintensive multivariable randomization tests, (with N. Schork) (1990). Computing Science and Statistics, 22: 509 513. Wiley, New York.
 Bandit strategies for ethical sequential allocation,
(with Q. F. Stout) (1991). Computing Science and Statistics,
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Keywords: sequential allocation, dynamic programming, ethics,
Gittens index, power, probability of correct selection, indifference region.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Optimal allocation for estimating the product of two means,
(with Q. F. Stout) (1992). Computing Science and Statistics,
24: 592596.
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[Abstract 
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Paper (PDF)]
 Optimal adaptive equal allocation rules,
(with Q. F. Stout) (1992). Computing Science and Statistics,
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probability of correct selection, equal allocation, vector at a time.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Analysis of communication times on the IBM SP2,
(with T. Tabe and Q. F. Stout) (1995). Computing Science and Statistics,
27, 347351.
Keywords: alltoall communication, resampling, performance evaluation,
message passing, operating systems, interrupts, heavy tails
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Determining optimal fewstage allocation rules,
(with Q. F. Stout) (1995).
Computing Science and Statistics, 27, 342346.
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[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Sequential allocation with minimal switching, (with Q. F. Stout)
(1996).
Computing Science and Statistics, 28, 567572.
Keywords: adaptive sampling, switching costs, constraints,
bandit, estimation, dynamic programming, optimal tradeoffs.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 A parallel program for 3arm bandits, (with R. Oehmke and
Q. F. Stout) (1997).
Computing Science and Statistics, 29, 390395.
Keywords: adaptive sampling, bandit, estimation, dynamic programming,
forward induction, parallel computing.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Predicting algorithm performance, (with J. Landrum and
Q. F. Stout) (1998).
Computing Science and Statistics, 30, pp. 309314.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Adaptive allocation with censoring, (with R. Oehmke and
Q. F. Stout) (1998).
Computing Science and Statistics, 30, pp. 219223.
[Abstract 
Paper (Postscript) 
Paper (PDF)]
 Minimizing the costs of screening trials,(with Q. F. Stout) (1999).
Computing Science and Statistics 31.
Keywords: fewstage, stopping rule.
[Abstract 
Paper (PDF)
]
 Optimal screening designs with flexible
cost structures (with Q.F. Stout),
Simulation 2001,
S.M. Ermakov, Yu.N. Kashtanov, and V.B. Melas, eds.,
NII Chemistry St. Petersburg, 2001, pp. 253260.
Keywords: drug testing, acceptancerejection sampling, fewstage,
stopping rule, dynamic programming, design of experiments, decision
theory.
[Abstract 
Paper (PDF)]
jphard@umich.edu
Last modified: December 2007